Nice II vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
61.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
USM
2 - 7
NIC
30%
22%
48%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
NIC
1 - 2
LUC
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
NIC
0 - 1
RSV
68%
17%
15%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
USM
0 - 0
NIC
29%
21%
50%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
NIC
4 - 0
AJA
47%
23%
31%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
GAZ
2 - 1
IST
71%
18%
10%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
GAZ
1 - 3
LIL
10%
21%
69%
|
51 | 88 | 37 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SBF
0 - 1
GAZ
13%
18%
69%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
SAI
0 - 1
GAZ
13%
20%
68%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
GAZ
2 - 2
FUR
64%
21%
16%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |