Nicaragua SD vs Pegaso At. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
25.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nicaragua SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
MOL
2 - 3
NIC
53%
20%
27%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
NIC
2 - 1
RAN
15%
17%
67%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
RCA
6 - 2
NIC
69%
16%
15%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
NIC
1 - 0
RIH
45%
22%
33%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
EDE
4 - 4
NIC
50%
21%
29%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pegaso At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
PEG
1 - 1
VIL
41%
22%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ERO
4 - 2
PEG
51%
21%
28%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PEG
0 - 4
EMO
28%
22%
51%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
HUR
2 - 2
PEG
76%
14%
10%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PEG
1 - 0
MOL
22%
20%
58%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |