Nicaragua vs Casetas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
74.7%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
JUA
3 - 2
NIC
61%
19%
20%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NIC
3 - 3
PEN
24%
21%
56%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
BOR
4 - 1
NIC
80%
13%
8%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SIR
1 - 0
NIC
61%
19%
21%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
NIC
0 - 5
ARA
31%
22%
46%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 0
ARA
66%
18%
17%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
RCH
0 - 6
CAS
14%
17%
70%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
7 - 0
SPO
67%
18%
15%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PAD
0 - 1
CAS
19%
19%
63%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
JUA
57%
20%
23%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |