Newry City vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
44.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
BAL
3 - 1
NEW
77%
15%
8%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
WAR
2 - 2
NEW
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 1
NEW
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
COL
0 - 1
NEW
69%
20%
11%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 2
BAL
21%
25%
55%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
GLE
3 - 3
INS
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
INS
1 - 0
ARD
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
INS
6 - 4
CLI
23%
25%
52%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
INS
3 - 3
GLE
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
GLE
3 - 3
INS
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |