Newry City vs Ballyclare Comrades analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
QUB
0 - 1
NEW
18%
24%
58%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 3
NEW
52%
25%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 0
AUN
46%
25%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
DUN
2 - 2
NEW
30%
25%
45%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
KNO
0 - 2
NEW
35%
25%
39%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ballyclare Comrades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
BAL
2 - 4
ARD
30%
25%
44%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
DER
2 - 0
BAL
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
DUN
3 - 0
BAL
34%
23%
43%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
HAR
2 - 2
BAL
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 0
BAL
56%
22%
23%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |