Northern Ireland Second Division Normal Season Round 1

Newington Youth vs Dergview FC analysis

Newington Youth Dergview FC
56 ELO 52
3.9% Tilt 0.5%
3810º General ELO ranking 6265º
26º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
48.4%
Newington Youth
24.6%
Draw
27%
Dergview FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
Newington Youth
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27%
Win probability
Dergview FC
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Newington Youth
+40%
-52%
Dergview FC

Points and table prediction

Newington Youth
Their league position
Dergview FC
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
11º
11º
33
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Loughgall
69
69
100%
Warrenpoint Town
63
63
100%
Annagh United
55
55
100%
Dundela
54
54
100%
Ballyclare Comrades
47
47
100%
Ards FC
47
47
100%
Harland & Wolff Welders
46
46
0%
Ballinamallard United
46
46
0%
Institute
34
34
100%
Dergview FC
11º
33
33
10º
0%
Newington Youth
10º
33
33
11º
0%
Knockbreda
12º
28
28
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Newington Youth
Dergview FC
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 100%

ELO progression

Newington Youth
Dergview FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Newington Youth
Newington Youth
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jul. 2022
NEW
Newry City
0 - 1
Newington Youth
NEY
52%
24%
25%
55 59 4 0
07 May. 2022
NEY
Newington Youth
5 - 0
Banbridge Town
BAN
51%
24%
25%
54 50 4 +1
03 May. 2022
DOL
Dollingstown
2 - 3
Newington Youth
NEY
42%
26%
32%
53 52 1 +1
30 Apr. 2022
NEY
Newington Youth
6 - 1
Armagh City
ARC
56%
23%
21%
52 49 3 +1
23 Apr. 2022
BAN
Bangor
0 - 5
Newington Youth
NEY
57%
22%
21%
51 53 2 +1

Matches

Dergview FC
Dergview FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2022
GLE
Glenavon
3 - 1
Dergview FC
DER
72%
17%
12%
53 63 10 0
16 Jul. 2022
DER
Dergview FC
1 - 2
Dungannon Swifts
DUN
48%
24%
28%
53 51 2 0
30 Apr. 2022
NEW
Newry City
6 - 1
Dergview FC
DER
50%
25%
25%
54 58 4 -1
23 Apr. 2022
LOU
Loughgall
0 - 1
Dergview FC
DER
56%
23%
21%
53 58 5 +1
19 Apr. 2022
DER
Dergview FC
0 - 0
Annagh United
AUN
35%
25%
40%
53 56 3 0