Newcastle vs Valerenga IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
OPA
1 - 1
NEW
25%
25%
50%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2004 |
VIF
1 - 1
NEW
24%
25%
51%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
NEW
2 - 1
MID
64%
21%
15%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
BBU
1 - 1
NEW
33%
25%
42%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
NEW
3 - 1
LEI
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2004 |
VIF
1 - 1
NEW
24%
25%
51%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2003 |
WIS
0 - 0
VIF
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
VIF
5 - 3
SDF
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2003 |
SDF
0 - 0
VIF
43%
24%
33%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2003 |
VIF
0 - 0
WIS
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |