Newcastle vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1966 |
NEW
3 - 1
STO
41%
24%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
NOR
3 - 1
NEW
40%
26%
35%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1966 |
NEW
2 - 0
SHW
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1966 |
NTT
1 - 2
NEW
61%
21%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1966 |
TOT
2 - 2
NEW
79%
13%
9%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1966 |
BBU
2 - 0
SUN
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1966 |
CHL
3 - 2
SUN
65%
19%
15%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
SUN
0 - 3
LEI
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1966 |
LIV
4 - 0
SUN
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1966 |
SHE
2 - 2
SUN
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |