Newcastle vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
17.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1960 |
BUR
2 - 1
NEW
63%
19%
19%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1960 |
NEW
0 - 2
LEI
63%
18%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1960 |
PNE
1 - 2
NEW
62%
19%
20%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1960 |
NEW
7 - 3
MUD
38%
22%
40%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1959 |
NEW
1 - 1
CHL
57%
20%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1960 |
LEE
1 - 4
WBA
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1960 |
CHL
1 - 3
LEE
66%
18%
17%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1960 |
LEE
3 - 0
WHU
44%
24%
33%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1960 |
LEE
1 - 1
LUT
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1959 |
TOT
1 - 4
LEE
77%
14%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |