Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Heart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
26.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CCM
1 - 0
NEW
64%
21%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
NEW
4 - 0
PER
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 1
SYD
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 0
NEW
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
WPH
1 - 0
NEW
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Heart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 2
SYD
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 1
CCM
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
BRI
2 - 1
MEL
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 2
MEL
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 1
GOL
41%
28%
32%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |