New Mills vs Radcliffe Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Mills
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
MOS
3 - 3
NEW
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
LAN
6 - 0
NEW
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 2
NOR
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
NEW
0 - 4
FAR
66%
18%
16%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
WAR
0 - 0
NEW
50%
23%
28%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Radcliffe Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
RAD
3 - 0
OSS
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
RAD
3 - 0
CLI
49%
25%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CLI
3 - 3
RAD
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
RAD
1 - 1
RAM
29%
23%
48%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
PRE
4 - 3
RAD
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |