New Mills vs Quorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Mills
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
STA
1 - 1
NEW
68%
17%
14%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 2
LEE
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
NEW
4 - 2
SHE
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
LOU
3 - 3
NEW
56%
21%
24%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 2
HUC
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Quorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
GOO
2 - 0
QUO
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
QUO
5 - 0
SHE
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 0
QUO
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
SHE
0 - 0
QUO
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
QUO
1 - 0
SUT
20%
22%
59%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +2 |