Nevezis vs Stumbras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
51.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nevezis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
NEV
0 - 2
FKP
46%
24%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
VIV
1 - 2
NEV
33%
22%
45%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BAN
1 - 2
NEV
43%
23%
34%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
DTE
1 - 2
NEV
32%
22%
46%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
NEV
6 - 0
LOK
85%
11%
4%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Stumbras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
STU
0 - 2
ATL
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
STU
2 - 1
LIE
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
PAN
0 - 2
STU
27%
22%
51%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
UUT
0 - 0
STU
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
STU
2 - 3
SUD
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |