Neusiedl vs St. Margarethen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neusiedl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
DRA
1 - 3
NEU
38%
23%
39%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
PUR
3 - 1
NEU
45%
25%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
NEU
2 - 1
STI
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
JEN
2 - 3
NEU
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
NEU
2 - 2
PAR
49%
23%
27%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
St. Margarethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
STM
2 - 0
PUR
32%
25%
43%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
STI
4 - 2
STM
57%
22%
21%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
STM
0 - 4
JEN
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 0
STM
57%
23%
21%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
STM
0 - 0
KLI
63%
21%
16%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |