Oberliga Bayern North Round 6

ASV Neumarkt vs TSV Abtswind analysis

ASV Neumarkt TSV Abtswind
40 ELO 46
5.7% Tilt 2.2%
5892º General ELO ranking 5419º
294º Country ELO ranking 266º
ELO win probability
42%
ASV Neumarkt
24.7%
Draw
33.3%
TSV Abtswind

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
ASV Neumarkt
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.3%
Win probability
TSV Abtswind
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
ASV Neumarkt
-45%
-48%
TSV Abtswind

Points and table prediction

ASV Neumarkt
Their league position
TSV Abtswind
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
12º
12º
40
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
VfB Eichstätt
74
74
100%
Eltersdorf
73
73
100%
Ingolstadt 04 II
66
66
100%
ATSV Erlangen
62
62
100%
ASV Cham
55
55
100%
Fortuna Regensburg
53
53
100%
Weiden
50
50
100%
TSV Kornburg
47
47
100%
Neudrossenfeld
46
46
0%
Würzburger FV
10º
46
46
10º
0%
Bayern Hof
11º
43
43
11º
100%
ASV Neumarkt
12º
43
43
12º
100%
Jahn Regensburg II
13º
41
41
13º
100%
TSV Abtswind
14º
40
40
14º
100%
Ammerthal
15º
35
35
15º
100%
DJK Gebenbach
16º
35
35
16º
100%
FC Eintracht Münchberg
17º
20
20
17º
100%
TSV Karlburg
18º
15
15
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
ASV Neumarkt
TSV Abtswind
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

ASV Neumarkt
TSV Abtswind
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ASV Neumarkt
ASV Neumarkt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Aug. 2024
NEU
ASV Neumarkt
2 - 1
ASV Cham
ASV
45%
24%
31%
41 43 2 0
03 Aug. 2024
NEU
ASV Neumarkt
3 - 2
Bayern Hof
BAY
44%
24%
32%
41 42 1 0
31 Jul. 2024
NEU
Neudrossenfeld
1 - 0
ASV Neumarkt
NEU
33%
25%
42%
42 39 3 -1
27 Jul. 2024
NEU
ASV Neumarkt
3 - 1
ATSV Erlangen
ATS
45%
24%
31%
41 42 1 +1
20 Jul. 2024
JRE
Jahn Regensburg II
0 - 1
ASV Neumarkt
NEU
50%
23%
28%
40 41 1 +1

Matches

TSV Abtswind
TSV Abtswind
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Aug. 2024
TSV
TSV Abtswind
1 - 1
Ammerthal
AMM
49%
23%
28%
45 43 2 0
03 Aug. 2024
FCE
FC Eintracht Münchberg
0 - 1
TSV Abtswind
TSV
28%
25%
47%
45 34 11 0
30 Jul. 2024
TSV
TSV Abtswind
2 - 3
Eltersdorf
ELT
44%
24%
32%
46 47 1 -1
27 Jul. 2024
REG
Fortuna Regensburg
1 - 2
TSV Abtswind
TSV
36%
24%
40%
46 39 7 0
20 Jul. 2024
TSV
TSV Abtswind
1 - 2
Ingolstadt 04 II
ING
41%
24%
35%
47 47 0 -1