Oberliga Bayern North Round 28

ASV Neumarkt vs Eltersdorf analysis

ASV Neumarkt Eltersdorf
26 ELO 36
-5.5% Tilt 8.5%
5700º General ELO ranking 2671º
278º Country ELO ranking 117º
ELO win probability
24.5%
ASV Neumarkt
21.8%
Draw
53.7%
Eltersdorf

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
ASV Neumarkt
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
53.7%
Win probability
Eltersdorf
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
ASV Neumarkt
-16%
-1%
Eltersdorf

Points and table prediction

ASV Neumarkt
Their league position
Eltersdorf
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
17º
11º
71
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Eintracht Bamberg
78
78
100%
DJK Gebenbach
72
72
100%
Eltersdorf
71
71
100%
TSV Abtswind
64
64
100%
SV Donaustauf
61
61
100%
Ammerthal
53
53
100%
ASV Cham
49
49
100%
Jahn Regensburg II
47
47
100%
TSV Kornburg
46
46
100%
Würzburger FV
10º
45
45
10º
100%
ASV Neumarkt
11º
44
44
11º
100%
ATSV Erlangen
12º
41
41
12º
0%
Feucht SC
13º
41
41
13º
0%
DJK Bamberg
14º
36
36
14º
100%
Bayern Hof
15º
35
35
15º
100%
Grossbardorf
16º
34
34
16º
100%
Weiden
17º
28
28
17º
100%
1.FC Geesdorf
18º
12
12
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
ASV Neumarkt
Eltersdorf
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

ASV Neumarkt
Eltersdorf
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ASV Neumarkt
ASV Neumarkt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 2023
SVD
SV Donaustauf
2 - 3
ASV Neumarkt
NEU
66%
18%
16%
27 35 8 0
25 Mar. 2023
NEU
ASV Neumarkt
2 - 0
Weiden
WEI
48%
23%
30%
27 25 2 0
19 Mar. 2023
AMM
Ammerthal
0 - 2
ASV Neumarkt
NEU
57%
20%
24%
27 29 2 0
11 Mar. 2023
NEU
ASV Neumarkt
2 - 1
Grossbardorf
GRO
49%
23%
29%
27 25 2 0
04 Mar. 2023
FEU
Feucht SC
1 - 4
ASV Neumarkt
NEU
51%
22%
27%
25 28 3 +2

Matches

Eltersdorf
Eltersdorf
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 2023
JRE
Jahn Regensburg II
3 - 2
Eltersdorf
ELT
28%
22%
51%
36 28 8 0
04 Apr. 2023
ELT
Eltersdorf
0 - 1
SV Donaustauf
SVD
53%
21%
26%
39 36 3 -3
31 Mar. 2023
ELT
Eltersdorf
2 - 0
1.FC Geesdorf
FCG
89%
8%
4%
40 18 22 -1
25 Mar. 2023
KOR
TSV Kornburg
1 - 2
Eltersdorf
ELT
17%
20%
63%
40 28 12 0
21 Mar. 2023
AMM
Ammerthal
1 - 1
Eltersdorf
ELT
20%
20%
61%
41 28 13 -1