Neuchâtel Xamax vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
59.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
WIL
1 - 0
NEX
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
NEX
2 - 0
CHI
61%
21%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
NEX
0 - 1
KRI
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
LAU
1 - 1
NEX
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
NEX
2 - 0
WIN
25%
24%
51%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
THU
2 - 0
KRI
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
STA
1 - 3
THU
20%
24%
57%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
THU
3 - 1
SCH
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 2
THU
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
FCA
3 - 1
THU
29%
24%
47%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |