Neuchâtel Xamax vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
WIN
4 - 0
NEX
55%
23%
21%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
GCZ
3 - 0
NEX
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
NEX
2 - 4
FCA
39%
24%
37%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
NEX
0 - 1
STA
46%
24%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
SCH
2 - 0
NEX
30%
25%
46%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
THU
3 - 1
GCZ
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
THU
0 - 0
WIN
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
THU
3 - 0
CHI
77%
16%
8%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
THU
3 - 0
WIL
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
SCH
1 - 1
THU
18%
22%
60%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |