Neuchâtel Xamax vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
NEX
1 - 1
BAS
23%
22%
55%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
LAU
1 - 3
NEX
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SIO
2 - 0
NEX
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
NEX
3 - 1
ZUR
23%
23%
54%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SER
2 - 1
NEX
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 1
THU
74%
16%
9%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
THU
1 - 1
SIO
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
THU
0 - 0
GCZ
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
LAU
1 - 0
THU
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
SER
0 - 2
THU
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |