Challenge League Round 16

Neuchâtel Xamax vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy analysis

Neuchâtel Xamax Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
57 ELO 65
5.7% Tilt 8.3%
1600º General ELO ranking 778º
21º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
25.1%
Neuchâtel Xamax
25.3%
Draw
49.6%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
49.6%
Win probability
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Neuchâtel Xamax
-5%
+10%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Points and table prediction

Neuchâtel Xamax
Their league position
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
10º
10º
60
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Yverdon
66
66
100%
Lausanne Sports
61
61
100%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
60
60
100%
Aarau
57
57
100%
FC Wil
56
56
100%
Thun
49
49
100%
Schaffhausen
44
44
100%
FC Vaduz
37
37
100%
AC Bellinzona
37
37
100%
Neuchâtel Xamax
10º
24
24
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Neuchâtel Xamax
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Neuchâtel Xamax
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 2022
FCV
FC Vaduz
1 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
62%
22%
16%
56 65 9 0
28 Oct. 2022
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
2 - 2
Thun
THU
21%
23%
56%
56 64 8 0
23 Oct. 2022
FCA
Aarau
3 - 3
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
68%
19%
13%
55 66 11 +1
17 Oct. 2022
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 1
Schaffhausen
SCH
18%
22%
60%
55 65 10 0
14 Oct. 2022
LAU
Lausanne Sports
2 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
71%
18%
11%
56 70 14 -1

Matches

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2022
STA
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2 - 1
AC Bellinzona
BEL
45%
25%
30%
65 61 4 0
28 Oct. 2022
STA
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2 - 1
Aarau
FCA
30%
24%
46%
64 66 2 +1
22 Oct. 2022
SCH
Schaffhausen
0 - 2
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
STA
48%
25%
27%
63 65 2 +1
19 Oct. 2022
STA
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1 - 5
FC Vaduz
FCV
29%
24%
47%
64 66 2 -1
14 Oct. 2022
THU
Thun
0 - 2
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
STA
51%
25%
25%
63 67 4 +1