Swiss Super League Title Play-off Round 5

Neuchâtel Xamax vs Luzern analysis

Neuchâtel Xamax Luzern
81 ELO 74
3.4% Tilt 9.4%
1605º General ELO ranking 289º
21º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
67.8%
Neuchâtel Xamax
19.1%
Draw
13.1%
Luzern

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.1%
Win probability
Luzern
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Neuchâtel Xamax
-5%
-7%
Luzern

ELO progression

Neuchâtel Xamax
Luzern
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Mar. 1999
LAU
Lausanne Sports
4 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
52%
24%
24%
82 83 1 0
17 Mar. 1999
DEL
Delemont
1 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
25%
22%
53%
82 70 12 0
14 Mar. 1999
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
3 - 2
St. Gallen
STG
58%
22%
20%
82 78 4 0
07 Mar. 1999
BAS
Basel
1 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
29%
25%
46%
82 71 11 0
03 Mar. 1999
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 1
Grasshopper
GCZ
45%
25%
30%
81 84 3 +1

Matches

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Mar. 1999
STG
St. Gallen
0 - 2
Luzern
FCL
55%
24%
21%
73 78 5 0
14 Mar. 1999
FCL
Luzern
0 - 1
Lausanne Sports
LAU
24%
25%
52%
73 83 10 0
07 Mar. 1999
GCZ
Grasshopper
4 - 0
Luzern
FCL
81%
13%
7%
74 85 11 -1
28 Feb. 1999
FCL
Luzern
0 - 2
Basel
BAS
53%
25%
22%
74 69 5 0
13 Dec. 1998
FCL
Luzern
1 - 0
Grasshopper
GCZ
22%
25%
53%
72 84 12 +2