Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
40.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
7º
7º
60
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 52 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 51 |
6º
|
42% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
68.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
STA
2 - 1
NEX
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
STA
1 - 2
NEX
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
NEX
2 - 3
THU
22%
24%
55%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
NEX
1 - 2
SIO
24%
22%
54%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 1
NEX
51%
24%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
STA
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 1
ETO
44%
23%
33%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
THU
1 - 1
FCA
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 1
WIL
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 4
FCA
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |