Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SCH
0 - 0
NEX
29%
24%
47%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
NEX
2 - 1
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
BAS
4 - 2
NEX
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2015 |
NEX
0 - 0
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LEM
2 - 1
NEX
30%
24%
46%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 2
FCA
28%
27%
46%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FCA
1 - 1
BIE
51%
23%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
SPL
0 - 2
FCA
58%
23%
20%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
GCZ
6 - 2
FCA
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
FCA
3 - 4
FCL
21%
21%
58%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |