Super League round 17

Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis

Neuchâtel Xamax Aarau
78 ELO 71
16.2% Tilt 13.8%
1671º General ELO ranking 770º
21º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
74.3%
Neuchâtel Xamax
16.2%
Draw
9.5%
Aarau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.5%
Win probability
Aarau
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Neuchâtel Xamax
-14%
+10%
Aarau

ELO progression

Neuchâtel Xamax
Aarau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 1989
FCL
Luzern
1 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
42%
26%
33%
78 76 2 0
14 Oct. 1989
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
2 - 2
Servette
SER
64%
19%
17%
78 73 5 0
07 Oct. 1989
LUG
FC Lugano
6 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
41%
26%
34%
79 72 7 -1
30 Sep. 1989
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
2 - 1
Sion
SIO
53%
23%
24%
79 80 1 0
23 Sep. 1989
YOB
Young Boys
0 - 2
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
52%
23%
25%
79 76 3 0

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 1989
FCA
Aarau
1 - 1
Grasshopper
GCZ
40%
27%
34%
71 79 8 0
15 Oct. 1989
BEL
AC Bellinzona
2 - 3
Aarau
FCA
43%
29%
28%
71 63 8 0
07 Oct. 1989
FCA
Aarau
1 - 2
St. Gallen
STG
51%
24%
25%
71 73 2 0
30 Sep. 1989
LAU
Lausanne Sports
0 - 0
Aarau
FCA
62%
22%
16%
71 71 0 0
23 Sep. 1989
FCW
FC Wettingen
1 - 0
Aarau
FCA
52%
26%
22%
72 73 1 -1