Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1989 |
FCL
1 - 0
NEX
42%
26%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1989 |
NEX
2 - 2
SER
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1989 |
LUG
6 - 1
NEX
41%
26%
34%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1989 |
NEX
2 - 1
SIO
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1989 |
YOB
0 - 2
NEX
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
FCA
1 - 1
GCZ
40%
27%
34%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
BEL
2 - 3
FCA
43%
29%
28%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1989 |
FCA
1 - 2
STG
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1989 |
LAU
0 - 0
FCA
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1989 |
FCW
1 - 0
FCA
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |