Neuchâtel Xamax vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
50.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 0
NEX
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
NEX
2 - 3
YOB
25%
23%
52%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
GCZ
1 - 1
NEX
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ZUR
3 - 0
NEX
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
NEX
3 - 1
FCV
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
YOB
0 - 0
BAS
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 0
NEX
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 1
BAS
24%
23%
53%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
BAS
5 - 0
FCV
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
ZUR
0 - 1
BAS
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |