Neuchâtel Xamax vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
32.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1995 |
GCZ
2 - 0
NEX
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1995 |
FCA
1 - 1
NEX
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1995 |
NEX
0 - 2
SIO
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
LUG
0 - 0
NEX
47%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
FCL
1 - 0
NEX
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1995 |
LUG
4 - 1
BAS
43%
28%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1995 |
BAS
5 - 0
LAU
62%
22%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1995 |
FCL
2 - 1
BAS
34%
29%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
BAS
1 - 0
GCZ
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
BAS
3 - 1
SIO
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +2 |