Neuchâtel Xamax vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
35.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
YOB
2 - 1
NEX
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2003 |
NEX
1 - 3
BAS
32%
25%
43%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
STG
3 - 1
NEX
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
AUX
1 - 0
NEX
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
NEX
3 - 1
GCZ
34%
24%
43%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
AUX
3 - 0
LIL
56%
26%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
PSG
1 - 0
AUX
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
AUX
1 - 0
NEX
61%
23%
16%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
AUX
4 - 1
BAS
50%
27%
24%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
LYO
1 - 1
AUX
63%
22%
16%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |