National Third Division Round 12

Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kavala analysis

Nestos Chrisoupolis Kavala
41 ELO 50
-9.6% Tilt -21.8%
3166º General ELO ranking 3727º
32º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
29.7%
Nestos Chrisoupolis
26.2%
Draw
44.1%
Kavala

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
44.1%
Win probability
Kavala
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nestos Chrisoupolis
+20%
-15%
Kavala

Points and table prediction

Nestos Chrisoupolis
Their league position
Kavala
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
81
97
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kavala
97
97
100%
Nestos Chrisoupolis
81
81
100%
Panthrakikos
77
77
100%
Chaniotis
57
57
100%
Poseidon Nea Michaniona
55
55
0%
Aris Avato
55
55
0%
Thermaikos Thermis
55
55
0%
PAO Kristonis
54
54
0%
Orestis Orestiadas
54
54
0%
Apollon Paralimniou
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Niki Efkarpia
11º
49
49
11º
100%
Doxa Dramas
12º
44
44
12º
100%
Veria NPS
13º
32
32
13º
100%
 Aris Petinos
14º
23
23
14º
100%
Aetos Varvaras
15º
22
22
15º
100%
Anagennisi Epanomi
16º
19
19
16º
100%
Keravnos Angelochoriou
17º
15
15
17º
100%
Alexandros Agia Marinas
18º
14
14
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Nestos Chrisoupolis
Kavala
Promotion
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Nestos Chrisoupolis
Kavala
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nestos Chrisoupolis
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2023
AAM
Alexandros Agia Marinas
0 - 5
Nestos Chrisoupolis
NES
14%
20%
66%
43 14 29 0
12 Nov. 2023
DOX
Doxa Dramas
0 - 0
Nestos Chrisoupolis
NES
42%
27%
31%
43 40 3 0
05 Nov. 2023
NES
Nestos Chrisoupolis
3 - 0
Poseidon Nea Michaniona
PNM
46%
26%
28%
41 41 0 +2
29 Oct. 2023
PFC
Panthrakikos
0 - 1
Nestos Chrisoupolis
NES
56%
24%
21%
40 41 1 +1
21 Oct. 2023
NES
Nestos Chrisoupolis
4 - 1
PAO Kristonis
PAK
66%
19%
16%
39 29 10 +1

Matches

Kavala
Kavala
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2023
AOK
Kavala
3 - 1
Doxa Dramas
DOX
70%
18%
12%
49 40 9 0
12 Nov. 2023
PNM
Poseidon Nea Michaniona
0 - 1
Kavala
AOK
25%
25%
50%
48 40 8 +1
05 Nov. 2023
AOK
Kavala
0 - 0
Panthrakikos
PFC
68%
19%
13%
48 40 8 0
29 Oct. 2023
PAK
PAO Kristonis
2 - 3
Kavala
AOK
19%
24%
58%
48 29 19 0
22 Oct. 2023
AOK
Kavala
5 - 1
Orestis Orestiadas
ORO
85%
10%
5%
47 22 25 +1