Nesodden vs Frigg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
33.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
FIN
4 - 4
NES
40%
26%
35%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
NES
3 - 2
ASK
22%
22%
56%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
MOS
0 - 0
NES
67%
19%
15%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
NES
0 - 3
FOL
28%
23%
49%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
NES
3 - 4
LOR
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Frigg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FRI
4 - 4
KVI
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
TRO
2 - 2
FRI
28%
24%
48%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
FRI
2 - 4
OST
65%
19%
16%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
MOI
2 - 3
FRI
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
FRI
1 - 2
MJO
67%
18%
15%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |