Nesodden vs Follo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
48.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
NES
3 - 4
LOR
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
STA
2 - 1
NES
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
NES
1 - 1
SEN
39%
24%
38%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
NES
2 - 0
MJO
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
KVI
1 - 3
NES
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
KVI
2 - 3
FOL
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2012 |
FOL
2 - 0
TRO
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
OST
4 - 3
FOL
24%
23%
54%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
FOL
2 - 1
MOI
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
FRI
1 - 4
FOL
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |