Nesebar vs Svilengrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
SVE
0 - 0
NES
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
NES
2 - 3
LYU
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 0
NES
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
NES
1 - 0
MIN
74%
17%
10%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
DOB
2 - 3
NES
14%
22%
64%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Svilengrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
SVI
1 - 2
DUN
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
SVI
3 - 1
PAN
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
ROD
1 - 2
SVI
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
SVI
0 - 1
CSK
12%
20%
68%
|
43 | 78 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SVI
1 - 0
SVA
23%
26%
51%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | +1 |