Nesebar vs Pomorie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
45.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
TUN
1 - 2
NES
27%
25%
48%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
NES
3 - 0
FKS
87%
10%
4%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
GIG
2 - 0
NES
55%
23%
23%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
NES
4 - 2
SVI
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
NES
1 - 0
SPA
74%
17%
10%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Pomorie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
POM
3 - 0
SPA
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
EVR
0 - 2
POM
23%
25%
51%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
POM
3 - 1
DIM
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
POM
7 - 1
MAR
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
POM
7 - 0
SLI
83%
11%
6%
|
48 | 13 | 35 | 0 |