Nesebar vs Metalurg Pernik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
NES
0 - 0
MAR
27%
27%
45%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
BEL
0 - 1
NES
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
VID
1 - 0
NES
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
BDI
0 - 3
NES
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2001 |
NES
2 - 0
DUN
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Metalurg Pernik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
BDI
0 - 3
MET
25%
26%
49%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
MET
1 - 1
VID
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
MET
2 - 0
DUN
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
DOB
1 - 0
MET
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
FKH
2 - 0
MET
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |