Nesebar vs Botev Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
54.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
SVA
3 - 1
NES
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
NES
1 - 1
LYU
38%
28%
35%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
NEF
3 - 1
NES
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NES
1 - 2
DOB
49%
26%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 2
NES
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
LYU
0 - 1
BOT
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 0
DOB
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
DOR
0 - 3
BOT
14%
23%
63%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 1
ETA
59%
23%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
SVA
1 - 0
BOT
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |