Nesebar vs Asenovets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
SKM
2 - 1
NES
18%
21%
61%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
NES
2 - 1
LEV
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
ROZ
1 - 2
NES
43%
23%
34%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
NES
1 - 0
CHE
28%
25%
46%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
KAR
0 - 5
NES
25%
24%
51%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Asenovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
ASE
2 - 0
ROD
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
FKH
3 - 1
ASE
71%
19%
11%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
ASE
1 - 0
GIG
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
BOR
0 - 3
ASE
22%
22%
56%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
ASE
1 - 0
BSZ
75%
15%
11%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |