Nervión vs Mosqueo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
35.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
NER
3 - 2
YEY
26%
24%
50%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
TRI
2 - 2
NER
58%
21%
21%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
NER
2 - 1
ATL
32%
24%
44%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
UDT
3 - 1
NER
51%
23%
26%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
NER
2 - 1
PUE
25%
26%
49%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Mosqueo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
MSQ
0 - 2
TRI
50%
23%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 1
MSQ
33%
24%
43%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
MSQ
1 - 2
UDT
61%
22%
18%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
PUE
0 - 2
MSQ
42%
26%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
HUE
1 - 0
MSQ
39%
23%
38%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |