Nervión vs CD Demo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
64.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MON
3 - 0
NER
39%
25%
36%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
NER
0 - 1
ARH
45%
24%
31%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MON
4 - 2
NER
50%
23%
27%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
NER
1 - 1
CLA
53%
22%
25%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CAZ
1 - 0
NER
25%
22%
54%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD Demo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CDD
2 - 1
CAZ
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 2
CDD
51%
22%
26%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CDD
2 - 1
MAR
76%
15%
10%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
PAB
2 - 1
CDD
36%
22%
42%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CDD
3 - 1
SRB
67%
18%
16%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |