Nerva CF vs Valverde C.F. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
52.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
NER
3 - 1
CDZ
20%
22%
59%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CDR
4 - 1
NER
35%
24%
41%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CDH
0 - 2
NER
42%
24%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ARO
0 - 3
NER
39%
23%
38%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
NER
4 - 3
CDC
15%
21%
64%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Valverde C.F.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
CDH
2 - 1
VAL
12%
19%
70%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ARO
3 - 4
VAL
12%
19%
69%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 1
CDC
60%
21%
20%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CDE
2 - 1
VAL
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 2
ATL
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |