Nerva CF vs CD Castillejos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
78.5%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-95%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 1
NER
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
NER
2 - 6
HER
34%
22%
45%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 3
NER
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
NER
0 - 3
SAN
59%
19%
22%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ROS
2 - 2
NER
28%
22%
50%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castillejos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
5 - 0
MAT
89%
8%
4%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 2
CDC
52%
21%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
HER
0 - 1
CAS
20%
20%
61%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
ARA
60%
19%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 5
CAS
9%
15%
76%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |