Neroca vs Aizawl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
NER
1 - 0
GFC
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
CHU
0 - 1
NER
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
NER
0 - 1
MIN
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
NER
0 - 2
SHI
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
AIZ
1 - 2
NER
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aizawl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
CHU
1 - 0
AIZ
46%
21%
33%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
CCF
1 - 1
AIZ
26%
21%
53%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
ZOB
3 - 1
AIZ
86%
10%
3%
|
42 | 76 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
AIZ
1 - 1
MBS
37%
27%
37%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
AIZ
1 - 2
NER
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |