Neretva vs Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
6º
15º
6º
27
1º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
62.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
54.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
42% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
68.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 28 |
15º
|
95% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 95% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
OMI
2 - 0
NER
34%
22%
44%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NER
3 - 1
HNK
22%
25%
53%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +4 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NKH
6 - 1
NER
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
USK
1 - 0
NER
44%
23%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
NER
0 - 1
SMR
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SPL
2 - 2
KAM
34%
23%
43%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
USK
3 - 1
SPL
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SPL
5 - 0
VOD
33%
24%
44%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +3 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ZAG
2 - 0
SPL
82%
13%
5%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SPL
1 - 2
VOD
32%
24%
44%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |