Neretva vs Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
69.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
GOS
1 - 0
NER
44%
25%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
NER
0 - 1
ZMI
33%
24%
44%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
JAD
0 - 0
NER
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
NER
3 - 0
ZMA
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
HRV
1 - 0
NER
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SPL
1 - 2
NER
75%
16%
8%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
JAD
3 - 1
SPL
16%
23%
61%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
JUN
2 - 1
SPL
13%
22%
65%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SPL
1 - 0
IMO
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SPL
1 - 1
PRB
64%
21%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |