Neretva vs Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
HRV
2 - 0
NER
26%
26%
48%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
NER
0 - 0
ZAG
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
HNK
4 - 3
NER
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
ZAD
2 - 0
NER
68%
21%
11%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1995 |
NER
1 - 4
HKS
17%
28%
56%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
SPL
1 - 1
MAK
77%
15%
7%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
HRV
1 - 0
SPL
18%
22%
60%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
SPL
2 - 2
DZG
7%
14%
79%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
DZG
1 - 0
SPL
94%
5%
2%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2006 |
SPL
3 - 2
HNK
25%
23%
52%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |