Nenzing vs Alberschwende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
34.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
5º
15º
5º
66
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
74.5% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
89% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nenzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NEN
3 - 2
LOC
38%
21%
41%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BRE
3 - 3
NEN
12%
15%
73%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AND
4 - 4
NEN
40%
22%
38%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
NEN
3 - 1
BIZ
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
KBL
2 - 2
NEN
7%
12%
81%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Alberschwende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
AND
0 - 2
ALB
32%
22%
46%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ALB
3 - 2
BIZ
70%
17%
12%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
KBL
1 - 3
ALB
7%
13%
80%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ALB
4 - 1
FCH
70%
16%
13%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HIT
1 - 4
ALB
6%
12%
83%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | 0 |