Nelson Suburbs vs Cashmere Technical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
78.4%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
6.3%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.9%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
3.9%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
11.3%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
6.3%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
4º
4º
47
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
UOC
0 - 1
NSF
6%
11%
84%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SUF
0 - 5
NSF
15%
16%
70%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NSF
3 - 3
COA
53%
20%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 9
NSF
7%
11%
82%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
NSF
3 - 1
FCT
92%
6%
2%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cashmere Technical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 2
SUF
93%
5%
2%
|
40 | 12 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
COA
4 - 4
CAS
10%
13%
77%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
12 - 0
FCT
93%
5%
2%
|
40 | 7 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 5
CAS
11%
13%
76%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
EAS
5 - 1
CAS
53%
22%
25%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |