Nelson Suburbs vs Cashmere Technical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
67.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
QUE
1 - 6
NSF
33%
22%
45%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
NSF
1 - 0
COA
51%
21%
28%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
NSF
5 - 0
CEP
83%
11%
6%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Cashmere Technical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
CAV
40%
23%
38%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
CAS
7 - 0
NOM
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 22 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
CAS
8 - 0
PAS
85%
11%
4%
|
54 | 10 | 44 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 4
MIR
35%
23%
42%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
UOC
0 - 3
CAS
10%
18%
73%
|
56 | 11 | 45 | 0 |