Negreira vs Ourense CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
40.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Negreira
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 Jan. 2018 |
NOI
0 - 1
NEG
30%
25%
45%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
21 Jan. 2018 |
NEG
0 - 0
ALO
25%
24%
51%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
14 Jan. 2018 |
ARO
1 - 1
NEG
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
07 Jan. 2018 |
NEG
2 - 0
CEL
48%
24%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
17 Dec. 2017 |
NEG
0 - 1
BAR
20%
23%
57%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ourense CF
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 Jan. 2018 |
BER
2 - 2
OUR
74%
17%
9%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
21 Jan. 2018 |
OUR
0 - 0
NOI
75%
17%
9%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
14 Jan. 2018 |
ALO
2 - 1
OUR
56%
23%
21%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
06 Jan. 2018 |
OUR
1 - 1
ARO
32%
26%
41%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
17 Dec. 2017 |
OUR
2 - 2
CEL
65%
21%
14%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |