A PFG Round 16

Neftochimic Burgas vs CSKA Sofia analysis

Neftochimic Burgas CSKA Sofia
78 ELO 79
13.8% Tilt -8.8%
4638º General ELO ranking 960º
39º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
51.9%
Neftochimic Burgas
23.3%
Draw
24.8%
CSKA Sofia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
Neftochimic Burgas
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.8%
Win probability
CSKA Sofia
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Neftochimic Burgas
+2%
+25%
CSKA Sofia

ELO progression

Neftochimic Burgas
CSKA Sofia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Neftochimic Burgas
Neftochimic Burgas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 2003
NEF
Neftochimic Burgas
0 - 1
Slavia Sofia
SSO
51%
23%
26%
78 79 1 0
30 Nov. 2003
LOV
Litex Lovech
1 - 1
Neftochimic Burgas
NEF
58%
22%
20%
78 79 1 0
21 Nov. 2003
LPL
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2 - 0
Neftochimic Burgas
NEF
60%
21%
19%
78 79 1 0
08 Nov. 2003
NEF
Neftochimic Burgas
1 - 1
Cherno More Varna
CVA
66%
20%
15%
79 71 8 -1
31 Oct. 2003
BEL
Belasitsa
0 - 3
Neftochimic Burgas
NEF
21%
27%
52%
78 61 17 +1

Matches

CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2003
LPL
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
3 - 1
CSKA Sofia
CSK
57%
22%
21%
79 79 0 0
30 Nov. 2003
CSK
CSKA Sofia
2 - 0
Cherno More Varna
CVA
70%
18%
12%
79 70 9 0
22 Nov. 2003
BEL
Belasitsa
0 - 4
CSKA Sofia
CSK
18%
26%
56%
79 60 19 0
08 Nov. 2003
CSK
CSKA Sofia
1 - 0
Rodopa Smolyan
ROD
83%
12%
5%
79 64 15 0
31 Oct. 2003
LSO
Levski Sofia
1 - 1
CSKA Sofia
CSK
52%
24%
24%
79 79 0 0