Neftochimic Burgas vs Botev Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftochimic Burgas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
KYU
3 - 1
NEF
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
NEF
1 - 0
FKM
78%
14%
8%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
DOB
1 - 1
NEF
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1996 |
NEF
2 - 1
CSK
48%
25%
28%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1996 |
NEF
5 - 2
LOV
68%
19%
14%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
BOT
1 - 0
MON
70%
18%
11%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
VID
0 - 1
BOT
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
BOT
0 - 1
LPL
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1996 |
ETA
2 - 0
BOT
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1996 |
KYU
2 - 1
BOT
39%
28%
34%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |