Neftchi vs Qizilqum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
NAV
1 - 1
NEF
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
NEF
1 - 2
PAK
49%
25%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
BUX
1 - 0
NEF
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
DSA
2 - 0
NEF
48%
28%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
MET
0 - 0
NEF
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
PAK
1 - 0
QIZ
58%
23%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
QIZ
1 - 0
AND
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
BUN
2 - 1
QIZ
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
GUL
2 - 3
QIZ
34%
26%
41%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
QIZ
4 - 2
OLM
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +2 |